Every now and again, I will sound off on a few topics that are “burning” news about the Tampa Bay Rays. While this series will be an ongoing recurrence throughout the year, there is not rhyme or reason to when it will be posted, so if you like it, be sure check back often, or subscribe to our RSS feed.
Addressing Navarro vs Shoppach
This is an issue that has bugged me since mid last year when everyone in the world was coming down on Dioner Navarro, and
essentially writing him off as a has been.
Last year, I think that it is safe to assume EVERYONE feels Navarro had a horrible year. The 25 year old catcher dropped to a .218 average at the plate in 2009, hitting 8 home runs and driving in 32 runners in 115 games.
This is a far cry from Navarro’s break out season in 2008, where he hit a career high .295, while hitting 7 out of the park and driving in 54 runs.
Okay–I will be the first to acknowledge that those statistics from 2009 are pretty horrible, but let’s focus on the positive for a minute. Navarro is a career .253 batter who averages 8 home runs a year–not bad for a guy that handles pitchers pretty well. In 2008, the chubby, former fan favorite was elected to his first MLB All-Star game.
The guy has one bad year, and now all of the sudden the Tampa Bay Rays fanbase is ready to ship him out of town in favor of Kelly Shoppach. Well, that did not happen. Both guys are here in camp this year, competing for the starting spot, a spot that I feel Navarro will ultimatley win hands down.
Here is why.
- Shoppach, who has played in 180 fewer games than Navarro, has a lifetime batting average of just .241–12 points lower than Navarro’s average.
- Shoppach does have better pure power numbers than Navarro, but Navarro has 82 career extra base hits, while Shoppach only has 60.
- Navarro has a distinct advantage in the fact that he has been catching this same core starting rotation for the last 3 years–and has done a good job of it. The Rays starting rotation is one of the youngest, and most feared in baseball.
- When Navarro gets hot at the plate he is a nice addition at the bottom of the lineup.
- Shoppach, because of solid power numbers in 2008 (21 homers) and decent numbers in 2009 (12 homers) will be expected to produce those results in Tampa Bay–I think the 21 homers in 2008 was a fluke.
- Navarro is a switch hitter, so he will provide flexibility in the lineup. Shoppach is a righty.
Other important things to remember about this Spring Training battle:
You can not change the fact that Dioner Navarro is a crowd favorite. Fans either love him, or love to hate him, but I feel it is important (and responsible) of fans to remember that every player can have an off year. It happens. In sports it is extremely rare for a player to produce consistantly solid numbers year in and year out.
Is Kelly Shoppach better than Shawn Riggins? Yes. Without a doubt. It he better than Greg Zaun? Maybe not better, no, but younger, yes. I still feel that Navarro will win the battle in the spring, and will catch about 115 games, leaving Shoppach to the other 47.
Either way–whomever does the majority of the catching this year, is just keeping the spot warm for John Jaso if he ever blossoms, and for few years while Luke Bailey climbs his way into the majors.
Who do you think should get the majority of the appearances this year? Was Navarro’s all star season in 2008 a fluke? Is Shoppach the answer? Tell me what you think by leaving a comment below.
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Tell me what you think about this–would love to get a good debate rolling…
Navi might be more familiar with the pitchers, but I’m going to have to say that Shoppach is no doubt the better person for the job. Here are three reasons why.
1)Plate Discipline: Shoppach walked in 10.1% of his plate appearances last year. Navi walked in 4.4%. Shoppach’s minor batting average disadvantage is completely dwarfed by his 74 (I repeat, 74) point advantage in on base percentage. Sure, Shoppach might strike out a lot, but given that Navi grounded into a double play 5th most out of all AL players with more than 400 plate appearances last year (and the people above him were actually for the most part good hitters, including our own darling Longo) I think he could actually stand to strike out a bit more.
2)Power. As you pointed out, Navi has about a handful more extra base hits. I don’t think this is really Shoppach’s fault, given that Shoppach has had roughly half of the plate appearances as Navi, because he was the backup catcher to the second best catcher in the game (Victor Martinez), and he’s put up so many extra base hits in roughly *half* of the playing time Navi’s had. Shoppach’s slugging percentage last year was more than 70 points higher, and in the last two years, the only catcher to clear the fences more than him is Joe Mauer, despite Shoppach only having a fraction of playing time.
3)Lineup turnaround. Whenever Navi would come up to bat, my dad would either go get food or go to the bathroom. When he’d come back, I’d always tell him he didn’t miss anything, and I don’t think I could even count the number of times Navi found a way to end innings, even with just 1 out on the board. Without the lineup being turned around, Jason Bartlett (who was arguably the best hitting shortstop in the AL last year) was getting robbed of precious at bats, often with runners on base. Simply put, Shoppach gets out less, and even if he doesn’t drive in runners I feel great having Jason Bartlett getting the chance to after him.
Fair argument Bob, with some valid points I over looked. Thanks for an informed comment sir. A quick question though–what is Shoppach’s career walk % and OPS? I am at work and can’t dig into it right now–do you have that information available off hand?
Can’t argue with the fact that Navi is having one helluva spring so far though…batting something crazy like .716 so far. Should pan out to be a very interesting battle.
Career BB% of 8.1, career OPS of 776, versus Navi’s career BB% of 7.5 and OPS of 676